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David M. Miller

Ross D. Merkin

Howard L. Kaufman

Sameer G. Gupta

Natalie Wolkow

Adewunmi Adelaja

Ryan J. Sullivan

Chirayu Patel

Alexandra Sorrentino

Sonia Cohen

Christine Cimoch

Kevin S. Emerick

2026-07-20

Original Research · Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer

FIRST in Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma

A Bayesian causal analysis of dose intensity, early benefit, and treatment de-escalation.

FIRST CSCC Immunotherapy Treatment De-escalation
Journal Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer
Published July 20, 2026
Article type Original research · Open access

Citation

Miller DM, Merkin RD, Kaufman HL, Gupta SG, Wolkow N, Adelaja A, Sullivan RJ, Patel C, Sorrentino A, Cohen S, Cimoch C, Emerick KS. Frontline immunotherapy with response-guided subsequent treatment (FIRST) in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma: a Bayesian causal analysis of dose intensity, early benefit, and treatment de-escalation. J Immunother Cancer. 2026;14(7):e015029. doi:10.1136/jitc-2026-015029.

View DOI View article View on PubMed

Overview

Immune checkpoint inhibitors can produce substantial responses in resectable and locally advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, but the optimal duration of treatment—and the value of routine surgery or radiation after a deep response—remain uncertain.

FIRST evaluated 189 patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors as part of management for resectable, borderline-resectable, locally advanced, or limited metastatic CSCC. The study used Bayesian regression, directed acyclic graphs, and a prespecified landmark analysis to examine how dose intensity, early response, and subsequent treatment related to clinical outcomes.

189 Patients in the retrospective cohort
63% Objective response rate
27.5% Complete response rate
1 of 50 Recurrences among complete responders managed without surgery

Durable disease control frequently occurred after limited immunotherapy exposure. Although additional doses may provide modest benefit, the observed gains appeared concentrated early, with uncertain incremental value beyond two doses.

Clinical interpretation

  • Nearly half of patients received two or fewer doses of immunotherapy.
  • Clinical complete responders often maintained durable control without routine surgical consolidation.
  • The strongest evidence for incremental benefit appeared between the first and second doses.
  • Additional treatment beyond two doses may help some patients, but the magnitude of downstream benefit remains uncertain.
  • The findings support a response-guided treatment framework rather than a fixed-duration neoadjuvant model.

Authors

David M. Miller, Ross D. Merkin, Howard L. Kaufman, Sameer G. Gupta, Natalie Wolkow, Adewunmi Adelaja, Ryan J. Sullivan, Chirayu Patel, Alexandra Sorrentino, Sonia Cohen, Christine Cimoch, and Kevin S. Emerick.

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